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Part of Office of Statistics and Information

Current provincial population projections

See provincial population projections for 2024 to 2051.

By 2051, Alberta is expected to be home to almost 7.3 million people, representing an average annual growth rate of 1.6%.

Overview

Population projections give a picture of what the future population may be like in Alberta.

New in 2024

In addition to the previous standard geographies, population projections have been created by new geographies: 

  • 132 local geographic areas
  • 91 aggregated local geographic areas
  • 64 health status areas
  • 35 subzones
  • 13 peer groups
  • 5 health zones
  • education school authority’s boundaries for public (43), separate (17) and francophone (4)
  • 7 land use framework regions
  • 2 community and social services regions
  • 4 census metropolitan areas

See the Alberta Population Projections Dashboard

Population projections highlights

A majority of the expected growth will be due to migration, with 59% coming from international migration and 17% from interprovincial migration. Natural increase is projected to account for the remaining 24% of the growth.

Under the medium (reference) scenario, Alberta is projected to add roughly 2.6 million residents over the next 28 years, reaching almost 7.3 million by 2051 – an average annual growth rate of 1.6%.

Complete 2024 to 2051 reports

2024 to 2051 reports coming soon.

Population projections data

The following population projections data tables are for 2024 to 2051 and were released on September 12, 2024.

The tables include estimated (2001–2023) and projected (2024–2051) population of Alberta and a variety of sub geographies, including 132 local geographic areas by single year of age and gender, as well as some summary statistics.

For help with the population projections data tables, email: [email protected].

Glossary of terms

See the Glossary of Demographic Terms by the Office of Statistics and Information

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Contact

General OSI enquiries

Hours: 8:15 am to 4:30 pm (open Monday to Friday, closed statutory holidays)
Phone: 780-427-2071
Toll free: 310-0000 before the phone number (in Alberta)
Fax: 780-426-3951
Email: [email protected]

Media enquiries

Contact the Treasury Board and Finance Spokesperson.