Job market forecasts
Employment prospects and the latest job market statistics provide a snapshot of the province’s labour force and future outlook.
The Outlooks use factors such as economic and occupational outlook, demographics and education to forecast future demand for occupations and supply of workers in Alberta.
These Outlooks are a useful tool for:
- Alberta government and other levels of government
- industry associations
- post-secondary institutions
- Albertans looking to make training and career decisions
Occupational Demand and Supply Outlook
The Alberta’s Occupational Demand and Supply Outlook is released every two years and contains information on forecasted labour shortages and surpluses for occupations in Alberta for the next 10 years.
The most recent Outlook forecasts a cumulative labour shortage in Alberta of 49,000 workers by the year 2025.
The following are a few of the occupations with a forecasted labour shortage of more than 1,000 workers by 2025:
- Managers in construction and transportation (NOC A37)
- Computer and information systems professionals (NOC C07)
- Nurse supervisors and registered nurses (NOC D11)
- Medical technologists and technicians (NOC D21)
- Sales and service supervisors (NOC G01)
- Childcare and home support workers (NOC G81)
- Motor vehicle and transit drivers (NOC H71)
- Contractors, operators and supervisors in agriculture, horticulture and aquaculture (NOC I01)
Alberta’s Supply Outlook Model: Education and Skills, 2015-2025
Forecasts the number of enrolments and graduates across 11 major fields of study for different levels of schooling.
Alberta’s Supply Outlook Model: Visible Minorities, Aboriginals and People with Disabilities, 2013-2023
Looks at projected growth of 3 subgroups, by age and gender, in Alberta's population between 2013-2023.
Oil Sands labour demands
The Oil Sands Construction, Maintenance and Operations Labour Demand Outlook to 2023 (PDF, 2.57 MB) report was developed to provide accurate labour market information about workforce requirements for construction and oil sands jobs over the near-future.
Regional Occupational Demand Outlook
Current labour market information is essential to career practitioners, employers, teachers and students. This forecast highlights 140 occupations and how they are expected to grow over a five-year period.
The report’s information is organized by occupation and by year, outlining:
- the number of jobs in each occupation
- the percentage of projected growth from 2016 through to 2020
- the percentage of the labour market they account for
For each occupational category, there are 3 lines of information:
- Number of people within that occupation:
- very large occupation groups are considered to be 10,000 people or more
- large is 5,000 to 10,000
- moderate is 1,000 to 5,000
- small is 500 to 1,000
- occupation groups less than 500 people are considered to be very small
- Percent change, reflecting the annual average growth projected for each occupation.
- Percentage share in the labour market that the particular occupation accounts for.
Occupational forecasts 2016-2020
- Athabasca / Grande Prairie / Peace River Economic Region
- Banff / Jasper / Rocky Mountain House Economic Region
- Calgary Economic Region
- Camrose / Drumheller Economic Region
- Edmonton Economic Region
- Lethbridge / Medicine Hat Economic Region
- Red Deer Economic Region
- Wood Buffalo / Cold Lake Economic Region
Short-Term Employment Forecast
The Short-Term Employment Forecast (STEF) provides a three-year overview of occupations expected to be in-demand during that period.
This forecast examines over 450 occupations and ranks their demand prospects into these categories:
- high demand
- moderately high demand
- medium demand
- low demand
STEF does not show potential labour shortages. It only examines occupations expected to be in demand.
STEF helps bridge the gap between what is happening now in Alberta’s economy and the government’s 10-year, long-term labour forecast, the Occupational Demand and Supply Outlook 2015-2025.
To connect with Labour Force Statistics: