“Weekly updates from the Canadian Grain Commission (CGC) provide useful crop demand information,” explains Blue.
The CGC numbers include movement of bulk crops through facilities licensed by the CGC and exclude container movement of crops as well as overland crop movement to the U.S.
“Crop year to date, non-durum wheat farmer deliveries are down by 550,000 tonnes,” he says. “Canadian durum deliveries are up by 505,000 tonnes, or 25%.”
“Barley deliveries are up by 225,000 tonnes as domestic maltsters have been volume buyers. Producer deliveries of canola are up by 700,000 tonnes, about 7%. Pea deliveries have been strong, up 367,000 tonnes on stronger exports.”
He notes that Canadian non-durum wheat exports are lagging last year’s pace by 1.45 million tonnes, or 15%.
“To the end of December, most notable non-durum wheat export changes from year ago are the 723,000 tonne drop for China, partly offset by a 249,000 tonnes increase to Bangladesh, a 285,000 tonne increase to Australia and a 125,000 tonne increase to Japan.”
Durum exports are up by 739,000 tonnes, or 42%, led by a 572,000 tonne increase to Turkey and a 250,000 tonne increase to Italy. Oat and barley exports are running similar to year ago rates, with the major buyers again the U.S. for oats and China for barley.
“Canola exports to February 9 are down by 540,000 tonnes,” he explains. “Exports to China at the end of December were down by 1.58 million tonnes, reflecting the ongoing export restrictions to China. Increased canola exports to the United Arab Emirates, France, Germany, Belgium, Portugal and Bangladesh provided some offset.”
Although not a large volume crop in Alberta, Blue says that Canadian soybean exports have dropped by 987,000 tonnes, or 30%, on trade restrictions to China. He adds that numerous countries have increased their imports of Canadian soybeans, partly offsetting the 3 million tonne drop in Chinese imports.
“Pea exports are up by 382,000 tonnes, or 35%, from the year ago pace. The largest increases in Canadian pea exports are to China and to India, despite the stiff tariffs in place. Canadian lentil exports are up by over 132,000 tonnes, or 45%, with largest increase in exports to Turkey and India.”
He adds that regarding domestic use, all crops but soybeans are doing well.
“Domestic use of canola, mainly for crushing, is up by 633,000 tonnes, or 13%, reflecting strong crush margins year to date.”
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